Why Germany Still Has So Many Middle-Class Manufacturing Jobs
> Tax advantages are another reason. The high taxes on assets in France and the inheritance tax in the U.S. prevent the accumulation of capital necessary for the formation of a strong mid-sized sector.
Really? How?
He missed the main reason: currency suppression.
Germany has managed to suppress the value of its currency over the years to make its exports artificially cheap, which encouraged growth, creating manufacturing jobs.
It did this firstly through reunification (dragging down the value of the DM) and subsequently by joining the Euro (Southern Europe had the value of their currencies pegged higher than their 'natural' value, Germany's was pegged lower).
Germany's export boom after joining the Euro would have been short lived if they reverted back to the DM as the value of their currency would have risen in value, pushing up the cost of exports, ending the boom. Instead it continued unabated.
China also achieved the same thing largely by buying foreign debt (mostly US treasuries). As did Singapore, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Japan, all of which achieved similar results. There's no magic sauce, it's just a question of whether industry takes political precedence over banking (which likes an overvalued currency).
I think this is a big contributor:
A further pillar of the Hidden Champions’ competitive strength is the unique German dual system of apprenticeship, which combines practical and theoretical training in non-academic trades. The Hidden Champions invest 50% more in vocational training than the average German company.
I think a 4 year college degree does not make sense for a lot of jobs. It just puts students with more debt, and sometimes skills that don't lead to a job.
This article grinds too many axes to be as insightful as it could be. E.g., "[T]he inheritance tax in the U.S. prevent the accumulation of capital necessary for the formation of a strong mid-sized sector." is just casually tossed in there.
Germany is a highly decentralized country. Maybe go and study in one of the metropolitan areas but then return to their beloved villages far away from the maddening crowds. In fact many of these hidden champions are in the "middle of nowhere" with often sub-par logistics (e.g. no immediate Autobahn or major train connection).
I think the most important factor has been missed: planned luck. All the countries (in Europe) who are having success today are the ones who had a crisis (each for a different reason) in the '90s and made structural reforms. During the crisis in the 2000s and 2010s, these countries (Sweden, Switzerland, Germany, etc.) were leaner, more flexible than their "competitors". Fun fact, most of these countries are protestant. It would be interesting to have an explanation for this correlation.
Wow, that's a pretty appalling article.
Seems to avoid even mentioning the desire of most of Europe to try and learn from what went wrong after the Great War. In 1918-1930 Germany was left so weakened by peace treaties that the seeds were sown for WW2.
Post-WW2 the allies felt that a Germany crippled would only bring future wars, and a huge co-ordinated effort to build a sustainable industry and economic growth was put into motion. Germany and the people of Germany should profit from peace. Part of this was the Marshall Plan, part the European Recovery Program.
This positioned Germany to have a couple of advantages, namely that the Victorian era mass production methods that had been pioneered could be discarded (but remained in place in a lot of the other European developed countries). In Germany these were fully replaced by WW2 era production methods as most of Germany's industrial capability had been destroyed or damaged.
Additional processes to limit industrial capabilities (the key method of which was limiting steel output of the Ruhr Valley, which acted to restrain all industry) meant that industry was incentivised to find a larger profit per unit rather than slimmer margins from more units.
Combined with not being able to maintain a military, Germany was able to invest in skilled manufacturing like no-one else were able to.
Over a course of 50 years this resulted in not just a modern manufacturing capability to be put in place, but for that to be at the very highly skilled end of manufacturing.
The reason so many of the mid-sized market leaders come from Germany can be traced back to post-WW2 policies to ensure that Europe could be at peace. Some of these policies were undoubtedly exploitative in the short term, but long term have achieved their goal.
I'd be interested in knowing what percentage of the Hidden Champions are publicly traded companies. Companies of that size are very likely to be acquired in the US. Consolidation is a constant activity by many public firms and probably (I am speculating) tends to reduce the proportion of mid-tier companies relative to Germany.
Once acquired, these companies have an additional set of factors weighing on them in that the founding team is likely to leave, budgets are controlled by, and, profits are sent to an external firm. Those three factors will reduce the company's ability to determine it's own fate.
>Germany is far ahead of other large countries with regard to mental internationalization. This includes language competencies, international experience from student exchanges, and university studies. Countries such as France, Italy, Japan, and Korea lag far behind in these respects.
Don't know much about France or Italy, but know enough about Korea and to a lesser extent Japan about how important language and international studies are for an already overly rigorous education system.
That along with the bombshell assertion without evidence that the inheritance tax is the greatest burdens companies face today removes any credibility from the rest of the article.
What people overlook, also this linked pieces is, that Germany also has the banking system for this. You can say, there are three types of banks, private, state and co-op banks. And while there are huge private banks, most state and co-op banks are organised locally. Almost every district has its own Sparkasse und many towns still have a Volksbank or Reifeisenbank.
This is an important feature of the economics in Germany I think. Yes, many of these banks might be too small today and many merge into bigger banks but they are still the most trusted banks in the country.
Perhaps this means Germany could suffer disproportionately as a result of automation. It's also worth pointing out that Germany is not immune to global trends that may erode the ability to sell based on quality - I recently bought a 2001 BMW E39, thought by many to be the best BMW ever made. In fixing up the E39 I've come across the same opinion over and over again: BMWs/German cars in general are not as well made as they used to be.
Edit: I'm not saying my E39 is thought to be the best BMW ever made of course :D
One thing not listed in the article is that German tax policy is very export-friendly.
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I think our education system is pretty solid and well equipped to deal with tomorrows challenges and create competent employees (this is just briefly addressed in the article). While our education system is pointlessly complicated, a typical product of german bureaucracy, it's surprisingly flexible. If you want a job in Germany, you have do get some form of a degree. Especially "hidden champions" don't hire unskilled labourers, ever. There are essentially 3 options:
1. the apprenticeship: Still popular it is the most practical of the three. It takes a few years where you learn to master all the basics, even if its in practice handled by a machine, but also all the necessary theoretic backgrounds so that you know what you are doing. All the practical skills are taught at the company and there are (mostly) special schools for the theoretic parts. Also important: The apprentice already earns something during his apprenticeship! For some, depending on the individual circumstances, this is very important. Also you apply your skills as soon as possible, since the company already pays you, it tries to get you productive as soon as possible. Apprenticeship are no joke, they produce hard working, competent and practical employees. There are A LOT of companies looking for apprentices right now and not enough applicants.
2. the "dual study system"(direct translation): This is getting more and more popular and for many it is the right choice. It's a mix between apprenticeship and a university study. Half of your time you spend at your company, the other half you study at special "applied university"-like institutions(legally, they are not universities in Germany). I think especially for CS, most would be in good hands in these programs. They don't focus on super-theoretical stuff, they are very practical while providing your with a valid bachelor-degree in the end. For some subjects, the dual is the better option. The applied universities are not super focused on research and staffed with professors coming from the industry. They will teach you real-world, relevant stuff without neglecting the theoretical basics. After the bachelor, you have the choice to delve deeper into research with a master, either at this institution or switching to a traditional university. Also, you get paid during your study.
3. the university study: Well, this is essentially the same compared to your universities beside that it's free ;) They are often way more theoretical then the dual-study system. You have to be motivated by your material, since it's not immediately useful. Also in germany as an university student you are very independent, nobody pushes you to go to your lectures, take the tests or do your weekly problem set. Many get too relaxed and perform better in a more controlled environment. But if you're interested in the theoretical side of your subject and you want get a more academically demanding degree, the university is the right choice.
As a CS-student in germany, automation and digitalisation of factories (industry 4.0, as we call it) is the buzzword heard everywhere and i think this system is equipped to handle the challenge. Don't underestimate the apprentices, they know their stuff. 2-3,5 years of training are separating him from unskilled labor.
"I don't understand why this comment is being down voted."
Because most readers on hackernews are left wing idiots and teenagers?
"Germany has managed to suppress the value of its currency"
Actually, Germany did not suppess it's currency. But France basically insisted it gives up the "Deutsche Mark" in exchange for the reunification. This had the, in back-sight obvious but at that time unexpected side effect, that other European countries could not devalue anymore. In combination with quite low wages it makes the current German industry very successful.
Germany's real secret is that they don't pay their engineers.
An engineer, even with a PhD from a world class university, makes around 55k. Even in cities like Munich they will laugh about you if you request 60k.
Sure, if you have tons of experience, industry contacts etc., maybe more SOMETIMES. But let's get back to the 55k. A short internet search (www.nettolohn.de) tells us this is approximately 2600 Euro net pay per month. And this is for a full time job that is likely very stressful and comes with tons of responsibility. An English teacher in China (Shanghai, Beijing) can make 3000 Euro net a month.
Even if you claim my numbers are a bit off. It gives you an idea.
Rarely mentioned is the fact that post-war Germany turned to free markets, hence the "German Miracle". This persisted until 1970 or so, when the German economy turned significantly towards socialism and big government.