Why Fred Wilson Is Wrong On Android vs. iPhone
Now the question isn't: which OS is installed on as many handsets as possible, but which OS/phone has the highest probability to be owned by a fashionista (hint: iPhone) ? Same question about gaming: on which platform do you find the most "hardcore" (i.e. willing to pay a significant amount) gamers (hint: iPhone) ? And for a productivity app ? (hint: blackberry - at least for now). Last question: where do you find most influencers (word of mouth is important for social apps I'm told): iPhone or Android ?
The problem with this article is that it's countering Fred's post (which used statistics) with assumptions and guesses. Sure, there's a chart at the end with some data about income reported by owners of different phones. However, the meat of the author's argument is based on assumptions (presented as smug "hints") about which platform has more fashionistas, hardcore gamers, and people willing to pay for a productivity app. Someone else could just as easily write an article smugly hinting that the Android platform has more x, y, and z, and both articles would still be based on assumptions.
Maybe there should be a poll: Would you actually pay for an android app from the marketplace? I get the impression, from most of my android-wielding friends, that the answer is no. [yes, i know, there is an element of selection bias involved].