The guy is old, this analysis is pretty weak...

Even a declined America would still have a pretty big presence on the world stage. This article seems to be assuming America would cease to exist.

Cool article. Two issues though: 1. The author assumes America's decline is a done deal. But anything can happen. 2. All three of the regional powers mentioned (India, China and Russia) have developed extensive trade links in the last 10 years or so. Yeah they may still decide to flex their military muscles but generally you don't fight with someone you're doing business with.

I think there will be heated arguments about natural resources, but I just can't see India, China or Russia going to war over them in this day and age.