Hard Truth: In a Major War, the U.S. Would Rely on European Shipping to Deploy Its Forces

We talk a lot about defense spending. But here’s a more strategic question:

If the U.S. had to move 100,000+ troops and their gear across oceans tomorrow — could it? Probably Not without European shipping companies.

Let’s look at the numbers: As of 2024, the entire U.S.-flagged commercial fleet has only ~180 vessels in international trade. Fewer than 60 are militarily useful (roll-on/roll-off, heavy cargo). The U.S. Merchant Marine is shrinking — and aging. Many ships are 40+ years old. The National Defense Reserve Fleet is partly obsolete, with long activation timelines. (Source: U.S. Maritime Administration, GAO)

Meanwhile: MSC (Switzerland), Maersk (Denmark), CMA CGM (France), and Hapag-Lloyd (Germany) control over 54% of global container shipping capacity. These firms already have standing contracts with the U.S. Military Sealift Command for crisis logistics. (Source: Alphaliner, DoD logistics contracts)

The U.S. cannot fight a large war overseas without European-owned shipping. That’s not even an insult — it’s a structural reality.

And logistics is just the start: The F-35 is built with components from BAE Systems (UK), Leonardo (Italy), and Kongsberg (Norway). Saab, Rheinmetall, and MBDA supply systems used in U.S. and NATO missions. Europe also supports ISR, satellite relays, and base infrastructure for U.S. deployments.

I don't claim to be an expert in geopolitics - but I suspect that recent statements from the US president "not ruling out" claiming Greenland by force may be a factor here.

Greenland has been a Danish territory for 300+ years. This is longer than the United States of America has existed.

I have also noticed that e.g. Lockheed Martin (maker of the F35) is not doing very well on the stock market.

https://archive.is/2dYB3

huh? Trump wants Europe to go it alone to defend themselves but dont shop around for weapons only buy US made weapons???

“No, not like that!”

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